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System Feedback Loops
SCENARIO CONTINUATION:
It’s still 2012: 1/2/2012, the beginning of Time Warp 3. You have completed your analysis and revised strategy for the next four years and taken a breather. Just like the last time, you enter your predetermined decisions each year and collect the data for future analysis. Time flies and it is certainly deja vu.
Now it is New Year’s Eve, 2015, and you are hoping against hope that Time Warp 3 and all time warps will soon come to an end. You have the results of decisions. How did you do? What was your final score? Once again you celebrate hard, hoping you wake up in 2016.
It’s New Year’s day, 2016. You just had a great New Year’s Eve celebration, you finished another four years of moving Clipboard Tablet Co. through 2012 ? 2015, and are ready to charge ahead into the future. As you turn on the TV and try to open your eyes, you notice something strange (again?). The TV commentator is saying something about New Year’s Day, 2016. Wait, 2016? YES, YES. You did it. You have moved ahead into 2016!!!
You realize that this experience has been invaluable. You know it will help you make better decisions for Clipboard Tablet Co. as you move forward. But before you move ahead, you want to make sure that you have learned what you need to know.
You decide to analyze and compare the last two Time Warp results. You want to see how this last Time Warp results compare to the previous Time Warp results [the results from this run in paper 5 to the results of the run in Paper 4.] So you put the results side by side and you put the decisions side by side. And you analyze what happened ? how the results were different. And you use CVP analysis to help you understand why the results were different.
You think this is very important and you write it all down so you can refer back to it later if you need to as you move forward into 2016 and beyond.
You hope this never happens to you again, even though you realize how valuable this experience has been.
ASSIGNMENT
Run the simulation with the Strategy that you developed in paper 4 for Time Warp 3. Access the simulation site
(http://forio.com/simulate/jelson/tablet-development-sim-1/simulation/#p=page0). Collect the results for all three products over all four years. Compare the results from Time Warp 3 with those of Time Warp 2. Show the results side by side and show the decisions side by side. Explain how they are different. Use CVP analysis to explain why they are different.
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